Market Outlook
September 18, 2017
Market Cues
Domestic Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
Indian markets are likely to open flat tracking global indices and SGX Nifty.
BSE Sensex
0.1
31
32,273
Following the mixed performance seen in the previous session, US markets moved
Nifty
(0.0)
(1)
10,085
modestly higher over the course of the trading day on Friday. With the upward move
Mid Cap
(0.3)
(44)
15,973
on the day, the Dow and the S&P 500 reached new record closing highs. The Dow
Jones rose 0.3 percent to 22,268, the Nasdaq climbed 0.3 percent to 6,448 and the
Small Cap
0.4
62
16,688
S&P 500 edged up 0.2 percent to 2,500.
Bankex
(0.4)
(98)
27,978
The FTSE tumbled by 1.1 percent on worries over a rising pound, which hit a two-
Global Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
month high against the euro and a one-year high against the dollar following
hawkish comments from the Bank of England. The notable weakness also came
Dow Jones
0.3
65
22,268
after an explosion aboard a subway train in southwest London during rush hour
Nasdaq
0.3
19
6,448
Friday morning which injured at least 22 people in an apparent terrorist attack.
FTSE
(1.1)
(80)
7,215
Indian markets ended on a flat note on Friday after falling earlier in the day on
Nikkei
0.5
102
19,910
renewed geopolitical worries after North Korea fired another ballistic missile over the
Hang Seng
0.1
30
27,808
northern Japanese island of Hokkaido, its second such provocative move in weeks.
Shanghai Com
(0.5)
(18)
3,354
The benchmark BSE Sensex erased early losses to end the session up 0.10 percent at
32,273 while the broader Nifty index closed down 0.01 percent at 10,085.
Advances / Declines
BSE
NSE
News Analysis
Advances
1,120
690
Wipro wins IT contract from Innogy
Declines
1,481
991
India’s 1QFY18 CAD widens due to higher gold imports
Unchanged
145
77
Detailed analysis is on Pg2
Volumes (` Cr)
Investor’s Ready Reckoner
BSE
4,326
Key Domestic & Global Indicators
NSE
34,741
Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks
Refer Pg7 onwards
#Net Inflows (` Cr)
Net
Mtd
Ytd
FII
(931)
(3,529)
43,759
Top Picks
CMP
Target
Upside
MFs
845
5,119
74,006
Company
Sector
Rating
(`)
(`)
(%)
Blue Star
Capital Goods
Accumulate
785
807
2.8
Top Gainers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Dewan Housing FinanceFinancials
Accumulate
568
610
7.3
Mahindra Lifespace
Real Estate
Accumulate
463
522
12.8
Bbtc
1,238
15.8
Navkar Corporation
Others
Buy
190
265
39.5
Andhrabank
59
11.6
KEI Industries
Capital Goods
Accumulate
323
371
14.8
Naukri
1,220
10.5
More Top Picks on Pg5
Edelweiss
282
9.3
Key Upcoming Events
Ipcalab
518
8.9
Previous
Consensus
Date
Region
Event Description
Reading
Expectations
Sep 18, 2017 US
Industrial Production
0.19
0.10
Top Losers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Sep 19, 2017 US
Housing Starts
1,155.00
1,180.00
J&Kbank
75
(5.6)
Sep 19, 2017 US
FOMC rate decision
1.25
1.25
Il&Fstrans
75
(5.2)
Sep 20, 2017 US
Building permits
1,230.00
1,220.00
Rcom
21
(4.9)
Sep 20, 2017 US
Existing home sales
5.44
5.47
More Events on Pg7
Jpassociat
20
(4.2)
Centralbk
91
(4.2)
#as on 15th Sep, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 18, 2017
News Analysis
Wipro wins IT contract from Innogy
Indian IT specialist Wipro has won a 7 year contract from German utility Innogy.
The scope of the contract is to manage Innolog's data center and cloud services.
Innology focuses on renewables, grid & infrastructure and retail sectors.
Wipro will help the company to rationalize, virtualize and consolidate their IT
infrastructure. Wipro will also invest in and maintain Innogy’s twin data centers in
Germany. In February 2017, Innogy transferred its Germany based twin data
centers, located in Neurath und Niederaussen, to Wipro.
India’s 1QFY18 CAD widens due to higher gold imports
India’s current account deficit (CAD) widened to $14.3 billion, highest in four
years, to 2.4% of gross domestic product (GDP), in the June quarter due to pick up
in the gold imports ahead of GST implementation in July. in 4QFY17, CAD stood
at 0.6% of the GDP. Meanwhile, India's foreign trade has continued to recover with
both exports as well as imports, grew in double digits, at 10.3% and 21.02%
respectively, in August-17.
Economic and Political News
Govt to tap markets to fund smart city, affordable homes
After Maharashtra & UP, Rajasthan becomes 3rd BJP state to waive farm loans
Tata Sons’ plan to go private seen as a blow to Mistry
Corporate News
`5,700cr ICICI Lombard IPO subscribed 27% on Day One
Revival or just low base? FMCG volume sales grew 6% in July
India's JSW Steel aims to increase own iron ore production
Current account deficit widens to 4-year high as gold imports revive
GST cess hike impact: Hyundai hikes vehicle prices by up to `84,867
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 18, 2017
Top Picks
Market Cap
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Rationale
(` Cr)
(`)
(`)
(%)
Strong growth in domestic business due to its leadership
in acute therapeutic segment. Alkem expects to launch
Alkem Laboratories
21,445
1,794
2,161
20.5
more products in USA, which bodes for its international
business.
We expect the company would report strong profitability
Asian Granito
1,407
468
493
5.4
owing to better product mix, higher B2C sales and
amalgamation synergy.
Favorable outlook for the AC industry to augur well for
Cooling products business which is out pacing the
Blue Star
7,515
785
807
2.8
market growth. EMPPAC division's profitability to improve
once operating environment turns around.
With a focus on the low and medium income (LMI)
consumer segment, the company has increased its
Dewan Housing Finance
17,819
568
610
7.3
presence in tier-II & III cities where the growth
opportunity is immense.
Loan growth is likely to pick up after a sluggish FY17.
Karur Vysya Bank
9,494
157
180
14.6
Lower credit cost will help in strong bottom-line growth.
Increasing share of CASA will help in NIM improvement.
High order book execution in EPC segment, rising B2C
KEI Industries
2,515
323
371
14.8
sales and higher exports to boost the revenues and
profitability
Speedier execution and speedier sales, strong revenue
Mahindra Lifespace
2,375
463
522
12.8
visibility in short-to-long run, attractive valuations
Expected to benefit from the lower capex requirement
Music Broadcast
2,280
400
434
8.6
and 15 year long radio broadcast licensing.
Massive capacity expansion along with rail advantage at
Navkar Corporation
2,709
190
265
39.5
ICD as well CFS augurs well for the company
Strong brands and distribution network would boost
Siyaram Silk Mills
2,205
2,352
2,500
6.3
growth going ahead. Stock currently trades at an
inexpensive valuation.
Market leadership in Hindi news genre and no.
2
viewership ranking in English news genre, exit from the
TV Today Network
1,697
285
344
20.9
radio business, and anticipated growth in ad spends by
corporates to benefit the stock.
After GST, the company is expected to see higher
volumes along with improving product mix. The Gujarat
Maruti Suzuki
2,44,328
8,088
8,658
7.0
plant will also enable higher operating leverage which
will be margin accretive.
We expect loan book to grow at 24.3% over next two
GIC Housing
2,933
545
655
20.3
year; change in borrowing mix will help in NIM
improvement..
Source: Company, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 18, 2017
Key Upcoming Events
Global economic events release calendar
Bl oomberg Data
D ate
Time
C ountry
Event Description
Unit
Period
L ast Reporte d
E stimate d
Sep 18, 2017
6:45 PM US
Industrial Production
%
Aug
0.19
0.10
Sep 19, 2017
6:00 PM US
Housi ng Starts
Thousands
Aug
1,155.00
1,180.00
11: 30 PM US
FOMC rate decision
%
Sep 20
1.25
1.25
Sep 20, 2017
6:00 PM US
Building permits
Thousands
Aug
1,230.00
1,220.00
7:30 PM US
Existing home sales
Million
Aug
5.44
5.47
Sep 21, 2017
6:00 PM US
Initial Jobless claims
Thousands
Sep 16
284.00
7:30 PM Euro Zone
Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence
Value
Sep A
(1.50)
(1.60)
Sep 22, 2017
1:00 PM Germany
PMI Services
Value
Sep P
53.50
53.80
1:00 PM Germany
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Sep P
59.30
59.00
Sep 26, 2017
7:30 PM US
Consumer Confidence
S.A./ 1985=100
Sep
122.90
118.50
7:30 PM US
New home sales
Thousands
Aug
571.00
600.00
Sep 28, 2017
6:00 PM US
GDP Qoq (Annualise d)
% Change
2Q T
3.00
3.20
Sep 29, 2017
1:25 PM Germany
Unempl oyment change (000's)
Thousands
Sep
(5.00)
2:00 PM UK
GDP (YoY)
% Change
2Q F
1.70
Sep 30, 2017
2:00 PM UK
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Sep
56.90
Oct 02, 2017
6:30 AM China
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Sep
51.70
Oct 04, 2017
2:30 PM India
RBI Reverse Re po rate
%
Oct 4
5.75
2:30 PM India
RBI Repo rate
%
Oct 4
6.00
2:30 PM India
RBI Cash Reserve ratio
%
Oct 4
4.00
Oct 06, 2017
6:00 PM US
Change in N onfarm payrolls
Thousands
Sep
156.00
6:00 PM US
Unnemployment rate
%
Sep
4.40
Oct 10, 2017
2:00 PM UK
Industrial Production (YoY)
% Change
Aug
0.40
Oct 12, 2017
US
Producer Price Index (mom)
% Change
Sep
0.50
5:30 PM India
Industrial Production YoY
% Change
Aug
1.20
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 18, 2017
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
Exhibit 2: IIP trends
(%)
(%)
10.0
6.0
9.1
5.1
8.8
5.0
9.0
5.0
4.4
8.0
7.9
4.2
7.6
7.5
8.0
7.3
7.2
4.0
3.5
7.0
3.2
2.8
7.0
6.1
6.1
3.0
2.4
5.7
6.0
2.0
1.2
1.2
5.0
1.0
4.0
-
3.0
(1.0)
(0.2)
Source: CSO, Angel Research
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: Monthly CPI inflation trends
Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI
56.0
Mfg. PMI
Services PMI
(%)
5.0
54.0
4.3
4.2
4.5
3.9
52.0
4.0
3.6
3.7
3.4
3.4
3.2
50.0
3.5
3.0
3.0
48.0
2.4
2.2
2.5
46.0
2.0
1.5
1.5
44.0
1.0
42.0
0.5
40.0
-
Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends
Exhibit 6: Key policy rates
(%)
Exports yoy growth
Imports yoy growth
(%)
Repo rate
Reverse Repo rate
CRR
60.0
6.50
50.0
6.00
40.0
5.50
30.0
5.00
20.0
4.50
10.0
4.00
0.0
(10.0)
3.50
(20.0)
3.00
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Source: RBI, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 18, 2017
Global watch
Exhibit 1: Latest quarterly GDP Growth (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
8.0
6.9
7.0
5.8
6.0
5.3
5.0
5.0
1.1
3.7
4.0
2.5
3.0
2.2
1.7
1.7
2.0
1.4
0.8
1.0
0.3
-
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: 2017 GDP Growth projection by IMF (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
7.2
6.6
7.0
6.0
5.1
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.0
3.0
2.3
2.0
1.4
1.6
2.0
1.4
1.2
0.2
0.8
1.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: One year forward P-E ratio across select developing and developed countries
(x)
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 18, 2017
Exhibit 4: Relative performance of indices across globe
Returns (%)
C ountry
Name of index
Closing price
1M
3M
1YR
Brazil
Bovespa
75,757
10.8
22.9
33.3
Russia
Micex
2,054
5.7
11.0
3.4
India
Nifty
10,085
3.0
4.9
15.7
China
Shanghai Composite
3,354
3.3
6.7
9.2
South Africa
Top 40
49,275
0.1
10.7
7.2
Mexico
Mexbol
49,922
(2.4)
1.5
8.8
Indonesia
LQ45
977
1.5
1.8
5.6
Malaysia
KLCI
1,786
1.1
(0.1)
5.7
Thailand
SET 50
1,064
6.6
7.2
15.5
USA
Dow Jones
22,268
1.2
4.3
22.9
UK
FTSE
7,215
(2.3)
(3.3)
5.9
Japan
Nikkei
19,910
0.9
0.4
17.4
Germany
DAX
12,519
2.1
(2.9)
20.0
France
CAC
5,214
0.7
(1.8)
16.2
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 18, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Agri / Agri Chemical
Rallis
Reduce
222
209
4,318
1,873
2,099
15.0
15.0
9.5
10.5
23.4
21.2
3.6
3.2
15.8
16.0
2.2
2.0
United Phosphorus
Neutral
828
-
42,050
18,922
21,949
18.0
18.5
36.2
45.6
22.9
18.2
4.8
4.0
22.7
23.8
2.4
2.0
Auto & Auto Ancillary
Ashok Leyland
Accumulate
117
127
34,182
23,339
27,240
10.1
10.8
4.7
6.2
25.1
18.8
5.0
4.4
20.0
23.6
1.4
1.2
Bajaj Auto
Neutral
3,022
-
87,448
23,936
27,955
19.5
20.1
142.7
167.3
21.2
18.1
4.6
4.1
21.8
22.8
3.2
2.7
Bharat Forge
Neutral
1,241
-
28,880
7,637
8,755
21.7
23.2
36.1
47.3
34.4
26.3
6.2
5.3
18.5
20.8
3.6
3.1
Eicher Motors
Neutral
31,956
-
86,993
19,043
22,837
19.5
19.9
835.4
1,019.0
38.3
31.4
14.3
11.0
40.9
37.8
4.4
3.6
Gabriel India
Neutral
212
-
3,049
1,782
2,033
9.7
10.2
7.1
8.9
29.9
24.0
6.0
5.1
21.0
22.2
1.7
1.4
Hero Motocorp
Accumulate
3,891
4,129
77,707
32,239
36,878
16.0
15.6
184.4
206.5
21.1
18.9
6.6
5.8
31.3
30.7
2.2
1.9
Jamna Auto Industries Neutral
252
-
2,006
1,441
1,662
14.4
14.8
13.9
17.6
18.1
14.3
4.9
4.0
30.0
31.0
1.4
1.2
Mahindra and Mahindra Neutral
1,293
-
80,307
46,971
53,816
13.6
14.0
67.7
79.8
19.1
16.2
2.7
2.4
15.0
15.9
1.6
1.3
Maruti
Accumulate
8,088
8,658
244,328
81,825
101,245
15.0
15.0
283.5
356.0
28.5
22.7
6.2
5.1
21.9
22.4
2.7
2.1
Minda Industries
Neutral
868
-
7,502
4,328
5,084
11.0
11.9
27.3
36.4
31.9
23.9
6.8
5.3
23.1
25.6
1.8
1.5
Motherson Sumi
Neutral
332
-
69,976
55,937
64,445
10.8
11.4
16.9
21.1
19.7
15.8
4.4
4.5
25.2
25.4
1.3
1.1
Tata Motors
Neutral
401
-
115,855
303,167
343,649
11.8
13.8
33.1
54.7
12.1
7.3
2.0
1.6
16.9
23.0
0.4
0.4
TVS Motor
Neutral
650
-
30,878
13,992
16,216
9.0
9.4
17.1
20.3
38.1
32.0
10.1
7.8
29.7
27.7
2.1
1.8
Amara Raja Batteries
Accumulate
773
858
13,210
6,140
7,122
14.3
15.6
29.3
39.0
26.4
19.8
4.5
3.8
17.1
19.0
2.2
1.8
Exide Industries
Neutral
218
-
18,534
8,689
9,854
15.1
15.2
9.7
11.0
22.6
19.8
4.0
3.5
15.7
16.1
1.9
1.6
Apollo Tyres
Neutral
256
-
13,054
15,739
17,326
13.3
14.6
20.4
26.7
12.6
9.6
1.5
1.3
20.4
26.7
1.1
1.0
Ceat
Neutral
1,762
-
7,126
6,661
7,717
11.1
14.2
116.2
178.2
15.2
9.9
2.6
2.2
15.2
21.3
1.2
1.0
JK Tyres
Neutral
147
-
3,323
8,318
9,239
16.2
16.4
21.0
27.5
7.0
5.3
1.4
1.1
19.1
20.4
0.8
0.7
Swaraj Engines
Neutral
2,094
-
2,601
788
889
16.4
16.5
71.6
81.0
29.3
25.9
8.4
7.8
29.6
31.0
3.0
2.6
Subros
Neutral
236
-
1,418
1,855
2,135
11.6
11.8
10.3
14.7
23.1
16.1
3.5
3.0
15.8
19.1
1.0
0.8
Capital Goods
BEML
Neutral
1,844
-
7,680
4,286
5,194
7.1
8.2
42.9
58.1
43.0
31.7
3.5
3.2
7.6
8.7
1.9
1.5
Bharat Electronics
Neutral
190
-
42,461
10,258
12,470
19.6
19.5
7.3
8.6
26.0
22.1
0.5
0.5
20.4
21.9
3.6
3.0
Voltas
Neutral
543
-
17,970
6,778
8,004
9.6
11.0
17.1
22.4
31.8
24.3
7.6
6.6
17.7
19.8
2.3
2.0
BHEL
Neutral
132
-
32,308
33,200
39,167
6.8
9.5
6.2
11.2
21.3
11.8
1.0
0.9
4.6
8.0
0.6
0.4
Blue Star
Accumulate
785
850
7,515
5,101
5,997
6.0
7.0
17.9
26.6
43.8
29.5
9.3
8.5
21.9
29.0
1.5
1.3
CG Power and Industrial
Neutral
83
-
5,227
6,555
7,292
7.5
7.5
-
0.8
8,340.0
104.3
1.3
1.3
0.1
1.2
0.9
0.8
Solutions
Greaves Cotton
Neutral
141
-
3,453
1,778
1,993
14.7
15.1
8.1
9.1
17.5
15.5
3.9
3.7
21.8
23.6
1.7
1.5
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 18, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Capital Goods
KEC International
Accumulate
320
350
8,220
9,779
11,113
9.4
9.8
14.2
18.2
22.5
17.6
4.3
3.5
21.1
22.1
1.1
1.0
KEI Industries
Accumulate
323
371
2,515
3,001
3,391
10.0
10.0
13.0
16.1
24.9
20.1
4.5
3.7
18.2
18.7
1.0
0.9
Thermax
Neutral
953
-
11,357
4,125
4,747
10.3
10.8
26.7
31.5
35.7
30.3
4.0
3.6
11.2
12.0
2.5
2.2
VATech Wabag
Accumulate
637
681
3,475
3,867
4,126
9.6
10.0
34.9
39.8
18.2
16.0
3.0
2.6
17.7
17.5
0.9
0.8
Cement
ACC
Neutral
1,821
-
34,193
12,255
13,350
13.5
14.3
58.0
66.2
31.4
27.5
3.7
3.5
11.5
12.2
2.8
2.5
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
284
-
56,363
10,250
11,450
17.5
19.0
7.2
8.3
39.4
34.2
2.8
2.7
7.0
7.8
5.3
4.7
India Cements
Neutral
190
-
5,844
6,135
6,750
14.8
15.2
8.5
11.5
22.3
16.5
1.1
1.1
4.8
6.2
1.3
1.1
JK Cement
Neutral
1,005
-
7,024
4,150
4,775
19.2
20.0
49.0
63.5
20.5
15.8
3.2
2.8
17.0
18.5
2.1
1.8
J K Lakshmi Cement
Neutral
430
-
5,056
3,422
3,757
15.5
17.0
13.5
23.2
31.8
18.5
3.3
2.9
10.8
15.5
1.9
1.6
Orient Cement
Neutral
159
-
3,250
2,215
3,233
16.8
17.0
5.9
6.9
26.9
23.0
2.1
1.9
10.8
10.1
2.5
1.6
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
4,205
-
115,429
28,250
35,150
20.2
23.5
77.5
122.2
54.3
34.4
4.6
4.1
9.6
14.8
4.6
3.6
Construction
KNR Constructions
Neutral
202
-
2,844
1,846
2,203
14.5
14.5
12.1
13.7
16.7
14.8
0.9
0.8
17.5
16.7
1.6
1.3
Larsen & Toubro
Neutral
1,212
-
169,809
95,787
109,476
10.2
11.6
44.5
50.8
27.3
23.9
3.4
3.1
12.9
13.1
2.3
2.1
Gujarat Pipavav Port
Neutral
147
-
7,082
739
842
61.6
62.7
5.1
6.2
28.7
23.8
3.6
3.5
12.7
14.9
9.0
7.8
PNC Infratech
Accumulate
136
143
3,489
2,040
2,935
13.0
13.0
6.4
9.0
21.3
15.1
0.6
0.5
9.7
12.2
1.7
1.2
Simplex Infra
Neutral
485
-
2,398
6,012
6,619
11.6
11.7
21.1
31.0
23.0
15.7
1.6
1.5
6.5
8.6
0.9
0.8
Sadbhav Engineering
Neutral
295
-
5,060
3,823
4,426
10.7
10.8
10.3
11.8
28.6
25.0
3.4
3.0
10.1
10.5
1.6
1.4
NBCC
Neutral
212
-
19,112
9,099
12,706
6.4
6.4
7.3
9.6
29.2
22.2
1.3
1.0
27.5
30.5
2.0
1.4
MEP Infra
Neutral
103
-
1,666
2,403
2,910
18.3
16.8
2.4
6.1
43.6
16.9
16.5
11.1
35.2
55.8
1.9
1.5
SIPL
Neutral
97
-
3,432
2,060
2,390
46.8
47.7
(5.8)
(3.1)
3.7
4.2
(14.2)
(2.3)
6.4
6.0
Engineers India
Neutral
158
-
10,657
1,795
2,611
21.1
22.4
5.9
8.1
26.8
19.5
1.9
1.9
12.9
16.1
4.3
2.8
Financials
Axis Bank
Accumulate
518
580
124,088
32,558
35,843
3.5
3.2
27.8
41.0
18.6
12.6
2.0
1.8
11.4
14.9
-
-
Bank of Baroda
Neutral
145
-
33,456
22,533
26,079
2.4
2.4
12.0
20.9
12.1
7.0
0.8
0.7
6.6
11.0
-
-
Canara Bank
Neutral
347
-
20,747
17,925
20,235
2.0
2.1
18.5
36.5
18.8
9.5
0.7
0.7
3.4
6.2
-
-
Can Fin Homes
Neutral
2,798
-
7,448
586
741
3.5
3.5
107.8
141.0
25.9
19.9
5.7
4.6
24.1
25.6
-
-
Cholamandalam Inv. &
Accumulate
1,164
1,230
18,189
2,826
3,307
6.3
6.3
53.7
64.6
21.7
18.0
3.7
3.2
18.3
18.9
-
-
Fin. Co.
Dewan Housing Finance Accumulate
568
610
17,819
2,676
3,383
2.4
2.7
37.4
49.7
15.2
11.4
2.0
1.7
13.8
16.2
-
-
Equitas Holdings
Buy
162
235
5,487
1,125
1,380
9.6
9.8
1.5
6.0
108.0
27.0
2.5
2.3
2.4
8.2
-
-
Federal Bank
Accumulate
115
125
22,431
4,896
5,930
2.8
3.1
5.4
7.6
21.4
15.2
1.8
1.7
8.5
11.0
-
-
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 18, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Financials
GIC Housing
Buy
545
655
2,933
376
477
3.6
3.7
33.0
40.0
16.5
13.6
3.0
2.5
20.0
23.0
-
-
HDFC Bank
Neutral
1,849
-
477,261
55,236
63,253
4.5
4.4
68.9
82.4
26.9
22.4
4.7
3.9
18.7
18.5
-
-
ICICI Bank
Accumulate
292
315
187,319
42,361
51,378
3.6
3.9
18.4
25.7
15.9
11.4
1.7
1.7
11.3
15.0
-
-
Karur Vysya Bank
Accumulate
157
180
9,494
3,289
3,630
3.7
3.9
10.8
14.1
14.5
11.2
1.7
1.6
12.5
14.7
-
-
LIC Housing Finance
Neutral
647
-
32,647
4,895
6,332
3.4
3.7
50.7
66.8
12.8
9.7
2.5
2.1
21.7
23.8
-
-
Punjab Natl.Bank
Neutral
145
-
30,770
23,708
25,758
2.1
2.1
5.9
16.4
24.6
8.8
0.7
0.7
3.0
8.3
-
-
RBL Bank
Neutral
532
-
21,979
2,309
2,888
2.6
2.5
16.4
19.1
32.5
27.9
4.1
3.6
13.3
13.8
-
-
Repco Home Finance
Buy
660
825
4,132
496
597
4.4
4.2
38.5
48.7
17.2
13.6
3.1
2.6
19.6
20.6
-
-
South Ind.Bank
Neutral
29
-
5,287
3,195
3,567
3.0
3.1
3.0
3.8
9.7
7.7
1.0
0.9
10.5
11.9
-
-
St Bk of India
Neutral
272
-
234,835
105,827
121,056
2.4
2.5
16.1
25.6
16.9
10.6
1.3
1.2
6.6
9.9
-
-
Union Bank
Neutral
137
-
9,981
14,650
16,225
2.3
2.3
23.1
32.5
6.0
4.2
0.5
0.4
7.1
9.2
-
-
Yes Bank
Neutral
1,842
-
84,371
11,088
13,138
3.0
2.9
84.0
99.3
21.9
18.5
3.4
2.9
16.3
16.8
-
-
FMCG
Akzo Nobel India
Neutral
1,805
-
8,657
3,164
3,607
13.8
13.7
58.6
67.9
30.8
26.6
7.6
6.7
24.5
25.1
2.6
2.3
Asian Paints
Neutral
1,244
-
119,339
17,603
20,615
18.6
18.6
2,128.9
2,543.3
0.6
0.5
12.3
10.4
28.0
28.9
6.6
5.5
Britannia
Neutral
4,367
-
52,435
9,690
11,278
14.8
15.4
84.0
101.0
52.0
43.2
18.9
15.1
40.6
39.0
5.4
4.6
Colgate
Neutral
1,134
-
30,836
4,420
5,074
24.9
25.3
28.6
32.8
39.6
34.6
15.6
12.6
43.8
40.5
6.7
5.8
Dabur India
Neutral
309
-
54,493
8,346
9,344
19.6
19.9
7.8
9.0
39.7
34.4
8.0
7.2
25.2
24.8
6.1
5.4
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
5,097
-
21,437
5,072
5,760
18.2
18.4
176.3
199.2
28.9
25.6
6.1
5.6
21.2
21.7
3.6
3.1
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
937
-
63,841
10,171
11,682
20.8
21.5
21.7
27.1
43.2
34.6
9.7
8.3
22.3
23.4
6.4
5.5
HUL
Neutral
1,246
-
269,586
37,077
41,508
20.3
21.8
5,189.9
6,318.5
0.2
0.2
38.0
32.4
74.8
82.0
7.1
6.4
ITC
Neutral
269
-
328,077
44,588
49,853
37.0
37.3
9.6
11.0
28.1
24.5
6.9
6.6
25.1
27.3
6.8
6.1
Marico
Neutral
327
-
42,205
6,788
7,766
18.5
19.2
7.1
8.5
46.1
38.5
16.1
13.8
36.9
38.0
6.1
5.3
Nestle*
Neutral
7,335
-
70,724
10,083
11,182
20.0
20.9
119.7
141.3
61.3
51.9
216.0
197.4
36.7
39.8
6.7
6.0
Tata Global
Neutral
211
-
13,288
7,121
7,641
11.9
12.3
6.9
8.0
30.5
26.3
2.0
1.9
6.8
7.2
1.7
1.5
Procter & Gamble
Neutral
8,459
-
27,459
3,034
3,579
27.1
27.7
167.7
198.8
50.4
42.6
13.5
11.7
28.8
29.5
8.5
7.1
Hygiene
IT
HCL Tech^
Accumulate
887
1,014
126,502
52,342
57,053
20.9
20.9
62.8
67.6
14.1
13.1
3.2
2.7
22.4
20.6
2.1
1.8
Infosys
Buy
909
1,179
208,703
73,963
80,619
26.0
26.0
64.4
69.3
14.1
13.1
2.8
2.6
19.7
19.6
2.3
2.0
TCS
Accumulate
2,499
2,651
492,321
127,403
138,870
27.6
27.6
144.5
156.0
17.3
16.0
5.1
4.8
29.7
29.8
3.5
3.2
Tech Mahindra
Buy
443
533
43,228
31,015
33,496
15.0
15.0
35.6
38.1
12.4
11.6
2.1
2.0
17.0
16.3
1.2
1.0
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 18, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
IT
Wipro
Neutral
286
-
139,066
58,536
61,858
20.3
20.3
18.2
19.1
15.7
15.0
2.4
2.1
14.6
13.4
2.3
2.2
Media
D B Corp
Neutral
370
-
6,799
2,404
2,625
30.5
31.5
23.7
26.9
15.6
13.7
3.7
3.1
23.5
22.8
2.7
2.4
HT Media
Neutral
98
-
2,270
2,589
2,830
15.1
15.4
8.3
10.9
11.8
9.0
1.0
0.9
8.4
10.4
0.4
0.3
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
183
225
5,987
2,541
2,835
28.5
28.7
12.7
14.1
14.4
13.0
3.0
2.6
21.3
21.4
2.2
1.9
Sun TV Network
Neutral
823
-
32,447
3,238
3,789
51.9
55.1
30.9
38.0
26.7
21.7
7.6
6.7
30.0
31.0
9.5
8.0
Hindustan Media
Neutral
263
-
1,932
1,002
1,074
23.3
23.5
29.2
33.8
9.0
7.8
1.4
1.2
15.6
15.4
0.9
0.7
Ventures
TV Today Network
Buy
285
344
1,697
667
727
27.7
27.7
18.6
20.1
15.3
14.2
2.4
2.4
15.6
17.3
2.1
1.9
Music Broadcast Limited Accumulate
400
434
2,280
271
317
91.0
109.0
6.0
10.0
66.6
40.0
4.2
3.8
6.5
9.3
8.0
6.6
Metals & Mining
Coal India
Neutral
260
-
161,331
82,301
91,235
17.0
18.0
17.1
20.5
15.2
12.7
2.9
2.7
45.0
55.0
1.6
1.5
Hind. Zinc
Neutral
304
-
128,492
22,108
24,555
57.0
58.0
22.1
26.3
13.8
11.6
4.5
3.6
32.0
35.0
4.8
4.0
Hindalco
Neutral
247
-
55,462
102,350
105,355
13.5
14.5
21.5
24.5
11.5
10.1
1.6
1.3
15.0
15.2
1.1
1.1
JSW Steel
Neutral
267
-
64,443
64,500
68,245
21.1
21.5
20.1
21.2
13.3
12.6
2.4
2.1
-
-
1.7
1.7
NMDC
Neutral
132
-
41,732
10,209
11,450
47.0
48.0
11.1
12.1
11.9
10.9
1.6
1.6
-
-
3.6
3.3
SAIL
Neutral
62
-
25,689
54,100
63,555
3.0
10.0
(10.0)
1.5
41.5
0.8
0.8
-
-
1.5
1.3
Vedanta
Neutral
319
-
118,578
81,206
87,345
28.0
29.0
26.5
33.5
12.0
9.5
2.7
2.4
-
-
2.2
1.9
Tata Steel
Neutral
679
-
65,975
121,445
126,500
16.2
17.2
65.4
81.3
10.4
8.4
1.7
1.4
-
-
1.1
0.9
Oil & Gas
GAIL
Neutral
400
-
67,635
53,115
52,344
14.2
15.3
30.0
31.1
13.3
12.9
1.7
1.5
-
-
1.0
1.0
ONGC
Neutral
167
-
214,187
83,111
84,934
44.2
44.9
16.4
16.9
10.2
9.9
1.2
1.1
-
-
2.4
2.4
Indian Oil Corp
Neutral
415
-
201,569
396,116
432,560
8.5
8.8
40.1
42.2
10.4
9.8
1.8
1.6
-
-
0.7
0.6
Reliance Industries
Neutral
843
-
548,531
257,711
267,438
17.0
18.2
89.1
89.5
9.5
9.4
0.9
0.8
-
-
1.8
1.7
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma
Buy
486
600
9,166
3,903
4,584
18.2
19.2
21.8
27.2
22.3
17.9
4.1
3.4
19.8
20.6
2.4
2.0
Alkem Laboratories Ltd
Buy
1,794
2,161
21,445
6,901
7,850
18.4
19.1
85.0
100.5
21.1
17.8
4.3
3.6
20.2
20.1
3.1
2.7
Aurobindo Pharma
Accumulate
758
823
44,436
17,086
19,478
22.1
22.0
44.7
51.4
17.0
14.8
3.8
3.0
24.7
22.7
2.7
2.4
Aventis*
Neutral
4,078
-
9,392
2,508
2,862
16.8
16.8
139.9
153.8
29.2
26.5
4.2
3.4
23.5
25.8
3.4
2.8
Cadila Healthcare
Reduce
481
426
49,263
11,584
13,228
20.3
20.4
18.7
21.3
25.7
22.6
5.7
4.7
24.6
22.9
4.1
3.5
Cipla
Sell
561
458
45,103
16,619
19,437
15.4
16.2
19.7
24.3
28.5
23.1
3.2
2.9
12.0
13.2
2.9
2.4
Dr Reddy's
Neutral
2,210
-
36,644
15,844
17,973
17.6
18.2
91.7
111.0
24.1
19.9
2.7
2.5
11.9
13.0
2.5
2.2
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
2,411
-
20,421
3,260
3,651
15.0
18.0
46.1
58.6
52.3
41.1
10.7
11.1
20.0
26.5
6.2
5.6
Indoco Remedies
Sell
199
153
1,836
1,154
1,310
14.9
14.9
11.3
12.7
17.6
15.7
2.5
2.2
15.0
15.0
1.7
1.5
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 18, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Pharmaceuticals
Ipca labs
Neutral
518
-
6,541
3,593
4,022
14.5
15.5
19.4
25.2
26.7
20.6
2.4
2.2
9.5
11.2
1.9
1.7
Lupin
Buy
1,007
1,467
45,500
18,657
21,289
21.3
23.3
52.8
66.7
19.1
15.1
2.9
2.4
16.3
17.5
2.5
2.0
Natco Pharma
Neutral
810
-
14,111
1,836
1,946
31.8
28.9
22.1
20.6
36.6
39.3
7.4
6.6
20.1
16.7
7.5
7.1
Sun Pharma
Accumulate
524
558
125,673
32,899
36,451
26.9
25.4
31.6
32.3
16.6
16.2
2.9
2.5
18.7
18.8
3.4
3.0
Syngene International
Buy
480
557
9,594
1,402
1,823
32.8
36.0
15.9
20.7
30.2
23.2
5.6
4.6
18.7
20.0
6.8
5.2
Power
Tata Power
Neutral
84
-
22,801
32,547
33,806
20.5
20.5
4.7
5.4
17.9
15.8
1.7
1.5
10.5
10.5
1.7
1.6
NTPC
Neutral
167
-
137,947
86,070
101,246
28.3
30.7
12.9
16.2
13.0
10.3
1.3
1.2
10.6
12.4
3.0
2.7
Power Grid
Neutral
213
-
111,668
29,183
32,946
89.7
90.0
18.0
20.8
11.9
10.3
2.0
1.8
17.7
18.2
7.8
7.2
Real Estate
Prestige Estate
Neutral
260
-
9,731
4,607
5,146
21.0
22.2
7.9
9.8
32.9
26.5
2.0
1.9
10.3
12.0
3.3
3.0
MLIFE
Accumulate
463
522
2,375
487
590
12.3
17.8
21.0
31.2
22.0
14.8
1.2
1.1
5.2
7.4
3.6
2.9
Telecom
Bharti Airtel
Neutral
396
-
158,157
97,903
105,233
36.0
36.3
9.3
11.1
42.5
35.8
2.1
1.9
5.0
5.6
2.6
2.3
Idea Cellular
Neutral
80
-
28,729
35,012
37,689
27.1
27.7
(4.4)
(2.7)
1.2
1.3
(6.8)
(4.6)
2.1
1.9
zOthers
Abbott India
Neutral
4,136
-
8,788
3,244
3,723
14.9
16.1
167.5
209.4
24.7
19.8
5.4
4.6
23.7
24.8
2.4
2.0
Asian Granito
Accumulate
468
493
1,407
1,169
1,286
12.5
12.5
16.0
19.7
29.3
23.7
3.1
2.8
10.7
11.6
1.4
1.3
Bajaj Electricals
Neutral
391
-
3,967
4,646
5,301
6.7
7.6
16.1
22.3
24.3
17.5
4.0
3.4
16.4
19.2
0.8
0.8
Banco Products (India)
Neutral
215
-
1,540
1,530
1,695
13.2
12.7
19.0
20.0
11.3
10.8
1.8
1.6
0.2
0.2
0.9
101.8
Coffee Day Enterprises
Neutral
242
-
4,977
3,494
3,913
17.4
18.0
4.8
5.7
-
42.4
2.1
2.0
-
0.1
1.9
1.7
Ltd
Elecon Engineering
Neutral
52
-
586
171
201
15.0
16.2
36.0
43.0
1.5
1.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.8
2.4
Garware Wall Ropes
Neutral
880
-
1,925
928
1,003
15.2
15.2
39.4
43.2
22.3
20.4
3.7
3.1
16.5
15.4
1.9
1.7
Goodyear India*
Neutral
825
-
1,903
1,717
1,866
11.8
12.3
47.9
49.8
17.2
16.6
2.7
2.3
15.6
15.7
0.8
115.1
Hitachi
Neutral
1,997
-
5,431
2,355
2,715
10.3
10.8
49.0
60.9
40.8
32.8
9.5
7.5
0.2
0.2
2.3
2.0
HSIL
Neutral
393
-
2,842
2,240
2,670
14.6
15.0
17.0
22.0
23.1
17.9
1.9
1.8
0.1
0.1
1.5
1.2
Interglobe Aviation
Neutral
1,176
-
42,547
22,570
27,955
14.2
15.0
63.6
81.8
18.5
14.4
9.7
8.2
0.5
0.6
1.6
1.2
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
419
-
7,620
1,781
2,044
14.1
15.0
9.4
10.5
44.9
39.9
9.5
9.0
0.2
0.2
4.5
3.9
Linc Pen & Plastics
Neutral
234
-
346
420
462
9.3
9.3
15.3
17.1
15.3
13.7
2.6
2.7
16.9
19.5
0.9
0.8
M M Forgings
Neutral
626
-
755
542
642
20.1
21.0
41.6
56.8
15.0
11.0
2.1
1.8
0.1
0.2
1.8
1.6
Mirza International
Neutral
170
-
2,039
1,148
1,285
18.0
18.0
8.0
9.4
21.1
18.1
3.5
3.0
16.3
16.1
1.9
1.7
Navkar Corporation
Buy
190
265
2,709
561
617
41.5
41.5
11.5
12.7
16.5
14.9
1.7
1.6
10.5
10.4
5.5
4.8
Nilkamal
Neutral
1,599
-
2,387
2,317
2,525
11.4
11.1
96.0
105.0
16.7
15.2
2.8
2.5
0.2
0.2
1.0
0.9
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 18, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E
zOthers
Parag Milk Foods
Neutral
249
-
2,090
1,987
2,379
7.6
9.0
12.4
18.3
20.0
13.6
2.8
2.5
8.2
13.2
1.2
1.0
Radico Khaitan
Neutral
169
-
2,251
1,811
1,992
13.2
13.2
8.1
8.8
20.9
19.2
2.1
2.3
10.1
12.0
1.6
1.4
Relaxo Footwears
Neutral
529
-
6,355
1,981
2,310
13.7
14.5
12.0
15.5
44.1
34.1
8.6
6.9
0.2
0.2
3.3
2.8
Siyaram Silk Mills
Accumulate
2,352
2,500
2,205
1,769
1,981
12.7
12.7
113.1
131.1
20.8
17.9
3.2
2.8
15.5
15.5
1.4
1.3
Styrolution ABS India* Neutral
951
-
1,672
1,800
1,980
8.0
8.1
42.0
46.2
22.6
20.6
2.5
2.3
0.1
0.1
1.0
1.0
Surya Roshni
Neutral
307
-
1,343
4,870
5,320
7.7
7.8
22.8
28.1
13.5
10.9
1.8
1.6
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.4
TVS Srichakra
Neutral
3,092
-
2,367
2,729
2,893
12.7
12.5
248.5
265.0
12.4
11.7
3.5
2.9
0.3
0.3
0.9
0.8
Visaka Industries
Neutral
632
-
1,003
1,104
1,214
12.1
12.6
31.0
37.9
20.4
16.7
2.5
2.2
0.1
0.1
1.1
1.0
VIP Industries
Accumulate
225
250
3,173
1,450
1,693
10.4
10.5
6.5
7.8
34.3
28.8
7.3
6.3
21.1
22.1
2.2
1.9
Navin Fluorine
Accumulate
652
730
3,215
945
1,154
22.4
22.6
28.7
34.8
22.7
18.8
3.8
3.2
-
-
2.9
2.3
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on September 15, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 18, 2017
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
DISCLAIMER
Angel Broking Private Limited (hereinafter referred to as “Angel”) is a registered Member of National Stock Exchange of India
Limited,Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and Metropolitan Stock Exchange Limited. It is also registered as a Depository Participant with
CDSL and Portfolio Manager with SEBI. It also has registration with AMFI as a Mutual Fund Distributor. Angel Broking Private Limited is a
registered entity with SEBI for Research Analyst in terms of SEBI (Research Analyst) Regulations, 2014 vide registration number
INH000000164. Angel or its associates has not been debarred/ suspended by SEBI or any other regulatory authority for accessing
/dealing in securities Market. Angel or its associates/analyst has not received any compensation / managed or
co-managed public offering of securities of the company covered by Analyst during the past twelve months.
This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies
referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and
risks of such an investment.
Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals. Investors are advised to refer the Fundamental and Technical Research Reports available on our website to evaluate the
contrary view, if any.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Pvt. Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
Angel Broking Pvt. Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot
testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document.
While Angel Broking Pvt. Limited endeavors to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be
regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Neither Angel Broking Pvt. Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from
or in connection with the use of this information.
www.angelbroking.com